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2024-12-14 03:07:28

1. Individual pension funds will be expanded to broad-based index products.As soon as the data came out, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December rose to 97.7%, and there was basically no suspense! The fed's continued interest rate cuts will naturally help our monetary policy to be more relaxed, which is good for the big A!In January and September, the K-line is a Dayang line that runs through five lines, which is called the dragon going out to sea, which is a strong rising signal of the trend turning point;


Ordinary retail investors want to make money in the stock market. To put it bluntly, it is time for space. Insist on buying high-quality assets in batches in the extremely undervalued range to ensure that the purchase cost is lower than the intrinsic value, then ignore short-term fluctuations and wait for the value to return until the stock price is significantly higher than the intrinsic value. After thinking about this, in fact, many seemingly complicated problems will be much simpler.The current position of the market is in the circle. Generally speaking, when the market starts to rise, it is always unconscious to most people, because many people are aware of it after seeing the facts. It used to be said that stock trading is "seven-point mentality, two-point technology and one-point luck". I think this statement is correct, but in A shares, it is more accurate to change the mentality to policy+mentality. Although the stock markets all over the world are policy markets, A shares are more obvious.Before September, the market has always been a high dividend for defense and hedging, and the market is specially estimated. The incremental fund is the national team; Since the end of September, the market has been the mainstream theme, with low price and small ticket style. The incremental funds are new investors entering the market and old investors recharging.


3. From September to December, MACD crosses the 0 axis from underwater, which is a signal that the trend turns from weak to strong;Take the monthly index in the above figure as an example to illustrate:If you can't, it means that the winning rate of every small decision you make is not high. Small decisions with low winning rate will be amplified by high-frequency operation, and the result is that the more you do, the more mistakes you make. Therefore, retail investors want to make money through high-frequency decision-making to predict the market, and the probability of success is doomed to be very low, and they can't make a few money. The short-term market is almost a pure game market, but in the long run, the stock price will always fluctuate around the intrinsic value, even a shares are no exception.

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